About Me
I am a Ph.D. candidate in Statistics at Harvard University, advised by Kosuke Imai. My research is in causal inference, with a focus on counterfactual decision theory. I study decisions that are evaluated not only by their outcomes, but also by how those outcomes compare to what would have happened under a different decision. This allows me to ask whether a decision made a difference, or whether the same outcome would have occurred anyway.
I have an ongoing research collaboration with Netflix on experimentation, treatment-effect extrapolation, and semiparametric policy learning with high-dimensional model embeddings. I interned at Netflix in the summer of 2025 in the Experimentation & Causal Inference group and will return in the summer of 2026 as an intern in the Machine Learning and Inference Research group.
Before joining Harvard, I earned degrees from the University of Oxford (MSc in Statistical Science), ETH Zurich (MSc in Applied Mathematics), and the University of Vienna (BSc in Mathematics). I also worked full-time as a Data Scientist at QuantCo, focusing on statistical machine learning and pricing. Prior to my academic journey, I served in the Austrian Armed Forces, where I trained to become an army officer.
Research
For an always up-to-date list of publications, see my Google Scholar page.
Publications
-
Ergodic robust maximization of asymptotic growth with stochastic factor processes
(2022). Finance and Stochastics, forthcoming.
Working Papers
News
- June-August 2026. Internship: Netflix Machine Learning and Inference Research group
- May 2026. Organized Panel ACIC 2026, Salt Lake City, “Controversies about Counterfactual Utilities”; Talk: “An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility”
- April 2026. Talk: Netflix Machine Learning and Inference Research, “Low-Rank CATE Estimation for New High-Dimensional Treatments”
- April 2026. Talk: Imai Research Group, “Counterfactual Decision Theory”
- March 2026. Talk: Harvard Statistics and Applied Mathematics Seminar, “Counterfactual Decision Theory”
- September 2025-May 2026. Research Contractor: Netflix Machine Learning and Inference Research group
- September 2025. Talk: Harvard Statistics Seminar, “Statistical Decision Theory with Counterfactual Loss”
- June-August 2025. Internship: Netflix Experimentation & Causal Inference group
- May 2025. Organized Panel ACIC 2025, Detroit, “Policy Learning and Evaluation under Arbitrary Dependency”; Talk: “Statistical Decision Theory with Counterfactual Loss”
- May 2025. Paper: “Statistical Decision Theory with Counterfactual Loss” is now available on arXiv
Teaching
Harvard University
- STAT 210: Probability I (Fall 2024)
- STAT 234: Sequential Decision Making (Spring 2025)
- STAT 286: Causal Inference with Applications (Fall 2025)
ETH Zurich
- Probability Theory and Statistics (Spring 2021)
Contact
Email: benedikt_koch@g.harvard.edu